Today's Strong Picks
3W - 2L (60%)
Tuesday, May 5, 2026
15 Total Games
Season Strong Picks
241W - 172L (58.4%)
MLB Games
All GamesImplied win probability from consensus odds & line movement tracking
Last updated:
| # | Matchup | Implied Win % | Line Movement | Moneyline | O/U | AI Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ |
1
Ath
Athletics (43-59)
Luis Severino
@
9
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies (56-47)
Cristopher Sánchez
PHI Won
|
36.1%
63.9%
|
-12
+7
shift
|
+165
-200
|
9.0
Over (10)
|
PHI
99%
Strong
Win
|
| ✓ |
2
CIN
Cincinnati Reds (47-54)
Andrew Abbott
@
3
CHC
Chicago Cubs (57-45)
Jameson Taillon
CHC Won
|
39.8%
60.2%
|
-14
+8
shift
|
+140
-170
|
8.0
Under (5)
|
CHC
99%
Strong
Win
|
| ✓ |
1
LAD
Los Angeles Dodgers (65-38)
Tyler Glasnow
@
2
HOU
Houston Astros (50-54)
Lance McCullers Jr.
HOU Won
|
65.8%
34.2%
|
+8
-15
shift
|
-220
+180
|
8.5
Under (3)
|
LAD
99%
Strong
Loss
|
| ✓ |
3
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays (47-56)
Kevin Gausman
@
4
TB
Tampa Bay Rays (59-43)
Drew Rasmussen
TB Won
|
44.4%
55.6%
|
-24
+217
shift
|
+115
-140
|
7.0
Push (7)
|
TB
97%
Strong
Win
|
| ✓ |
9
BAL
Baltimore Orioles (50-53)
Chris Bassitt
@
7
MIA
Miami Marlins (52-51)
Sandy Alcantara
BAL Won
|
43.7%
56.3%
|
-23
+14
shift
|
+118
-145
|
8.5
Over (16)
|
MIA
92%
Strong
Loss
|
| ✓ |
4
TEX
Texas Rangers (51-51)
Jacob deGrom
@
7
NYY
New York Yankees (57-45)
Elmer Rodríguez
NYY Won
|
45.7%
54.3%
|
-12
+10
shift
|
+110
-130
|
9.0
Over (11)
|
NYY
76%
Lean
|
| ✓ |
2
NYM
New York Mets (43-60)
Freddy Peralta
@
6
COL
Colorado Rockies (41-63)
Michael Lorenzen
COL Won
|
59.1%
40.9%
|
-9
+12
shift
|
-160
+135
|
9.5
Under (8)
|
NYM
64%
Lean
|
| ✓ |
0
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates (53-50)
Paul Skenes
@
9
ARI
Arizona Diamondbacks (54-49)
Michael Soroka
ARI Won
|
44.7%
55.3%
|
-5
+5
shift
|
+115
-135
|
9.0
Push (9)
|
ARI
60%
Lean
|
| ✓ |
3
ATL
Atlanta Braves (60-42)
Martín Pérez
@
2
SEA
Seattle Mariners (51-52)
Bryan Woo
ATL Won
|
45.7%
54.3%
|
+24
-20
shift
|
+110
-130
|
7.5
Under (5)
|
SEA
48%
Toss-Up
|
| ✓ |
10
BOS
Boston Red Sox (52-49)
Jovani Morán
@
3
DET
Detroit Tigers (49-54)
Framber Valdez
BOS Won
|
41.7%
58.3%
|
+25
-22
shift
|
+130
-155
|
8.5
Over (13)
|
DET
45%
Toss-Up
|
| ✓ |
3
CWS
Chicago White Sox (54-47)
Noah Schultz
@
4
LAA
Los Angeles Angels (41-62)
Walbert Ureña
LAA Won
|
50%
50%
|
+6
-8
shift
|
-110
-110
|
9.0
Under (7)
|
LAA
43%
Toss-Up
|
| ✓ |
11
MIN
Minnesota Twins (51-53)
Taj Bradley
@
3
WSH
Washington Nationals (52-51)
Cade Cavalli
MIN Won
|
51.1%
48.9%
|
+3
-7
shift
|
-115
-105
|
9.5
Over (14)
|
WSH
38%
Toss-Up
|
| 13 |
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers (64-38)
TBA
@
STL
St. Louis Cardinals (52-50)
TBA
|
50%
50%
|
+8
-210
shift
|
-110
-110
|
7.5
O/U
|
STL
37%
Toss-Up
|
| ✓ |
10
SD
San Diego Padres (50-53)
Bradgley Rodriguez
@
5
SF
San Francisco Giants (42-60)
Adrian Houser
SD Won
|
45.7%
54.3%
|
+6
-6
shift
|
+110
-130
|
7.5
Over (15)
|
SF
36%
Toss-Up
|
| ✓ |
3
CLE
Cleveland Guardians (54-50)
Gavin Williams
@
5
KC
Kansas City Royals (43-61)
Stephen Kolek
KC Won
|
51.1%
48.9%
|
-3
+1
shift
|
-115
-105
|
7.5
Over (8)
|
CLE
33%
Toss-Up
|