Sharp Plays Logo
Betting Intelligence for the Masses
Today's Strong Picks
3W - 3L (50%)
Saturday, July 11, 2026
16 Total Games
Season Strong Picks
407W - 281L (59.2%)

MLB Games

All Games

Implied win probability from consensus odds & line movement tracking

Last updated:

# Matchup Implied Win % Line Movement Moneyline O/U AI Pick
0 Ath Athletics (59-88) Gage Jump
@
1 CWS Chicago White Sox (75-71) Bryan Hudson
CWS Won
47.8%
52.2%
-18
+216
shift
+100
-120
8.5
Under (1)
CWS
99% Strong
Win
3 LAA Los Angeles Angels (56-90) Ryan Johnson
@
5 MIN Minnesota Twins (69-77) Joe Ryan
MIN Won
38.8%
61.2%
0
-7
shift
+145
-180
9.0
Under (8)
MIN
99% Strong
Win
4 NYY New York Yankees (84-62) Cam Schlittler
@
2 WSH Washington Nationals (67-81) PJ Poulin
NYY Won
63.9%
36.1%
+5
-10
shift
-200
+165
9.0
Under (6)
NYY
99% Strong
Win
9 ARI Arizona Diamondbacks (78-69) Mitch Bratt
@
2 LAD Los Angeles Dodgers (89-57) Emmet Sheehan
ARI Won
29.4%
70.6%
-10
0
shift
+225
-285
9.0
Over (11)
LAD
99% Strong
Loss
4 CLE Cleveland Guardians (74-73) Tanner Bibee
@
1 MIA Miami Marlins (72-75) Eury Pérez
CLE Won
40.9%
59.1%
-16
+13
shift
+135
-160
7.5
Under (5)
MIA
97% Strong
Loss
6 MIL Milwaukee Brewers (91-56) Brandon Sproat
@
7 PIT Pittsburgh Pirates (74-73) Braxton Ashcraft
PIT Won
57.8%
42.2%
+15
-25
shift
-155
+125
9.0
Over (13)
MIL
94% Strong
Loss
2 COL Colorado Rockies (55-91) Kyle Freeland
@
4 SF San Francisco Giants (62-85) Tyler Mahle
SF Won
42.6%
57.4%
-4
+1
shift
+125
-150
8.5
Under (6)
SF
73% Lean
1 KC Kansas City Royals (65-82) Noah Cameron
@
6 BAL Baltimore Orioles (71-76) Kyle Bradish
BAL Won
42.2%
57.8%
+3
-9
shift
+125
-155
9.0
Under (7)
BAL
68% Lean
6 MIL Milwaukee Brewers (91-56) Brandon Sproat
@
7 PIT Pittsburgh Pirates (74-73) Braxton Ashcraft
PIT Won
49%
51%
+12
-213
shift
-105
-114
8.5
Over (13)
PIT
63% Lean
4 PHI Philadelphia Phillies (82-65) Cristopher Sánchez
@
2 DET Detroit Tigers (67-79) Casey Mize
PHI Won
56.3%
43.7%
-2
-3
shift
-145
+118
7.5
Under (6)
PHI
63% Lean
5 CHC Chicago Cubs (81-66) Javier Assad
@
3 CIN Cincinnati Reds (69-77) Nick Lodolo
CHC Won
48.3%
51.7%
-16
+14
shift
-102
-118
10.0
Under (8)
CHC
55% Toss-Up
4 BOS Boston Red Sox (80-67) Eduardo Rivera
@
0 NYM New York Mets (68-78) Freddy Peralta
BOS Won
43.7%
56.3%
+7
-10
shift
+118
-145
7.5
Under (4)
NYM
51% Toss-Up
7 TOR Toronto Blue Jays (73-74) Kevin Gausman
@
8 SD San Diego Padres (78-68) Germán Márquez
SD Won
50%
50%
+10
-212
shift
-110
-110
8.0
Over (15)
SD
42% Toss-Up
1 ATL Atlanta Braves (86-61) Reynaldo López
@
4 STL St. Louis Cardinals (72-75) Matthew Liberatore
STL Won
50%
50%
-8
+6
shift
-110
-110
8.0
Under (5)
ATL
38% Toss-Up
9 HOU Houston Astros (75-72) Peter Lambert
@
3 TEX Texas Rangers (72-75) Kumar Rocker
HOU Won
48.3%
51.7%
+4
-206
shift
-102
-118
9.0
Over (12)
TEX
35% Toss-Up
1 SEA Seattle Mariners (69-78) Logan Gilbert
@
6 TB Tampa Bay Rays (87-59) Griffin Jax
TB Won
50%
50%
+6
-8
shift
-110
-110
7.0
Push (7)
SEA
33% Toss-Up